UBS : Opportunities in European Utilities

 

UBS  most preferred European Utilities  are E.on /EDF/ Enel/ Engie / Fortum / Gas Natural.

+ & – to invest in the sector :

+ Sector’s return to positive earnings growth (5-7%) + favorable earnings revision + Earnings visibility.
+ Relative valuation vs others sectors.
+ High Dividends in Low Bond Yields environment.
+ Global Energy transition should be beneficial.
– Politics & new regulations .
– Risk = Long rates evolution .
+ « Defensivity « of sector in streched market environment.

Enel , Engie and E.on are the cheapest based on P/E metric.
Engie on P/BV point of view.
Gas Natural based on Dividend.

 

Stifel : Macro & Portfolio Strategy – January 2018

• Stifel sees a 5% SP500 correction in Q1 for SP500.
• SP500 seen at roughly current levels by EOY = Active investing environment
• Slide 2 for long term forecast !!! (Note that Stifel forecast has been quite correct in the last 6-7 years in this bull market).
• Slides 6 on long rates and SP500.
• US 10 Yields seen at 2.96% eoy

Link to the Stifel Macro & Portfolio Strategy :  Stifel 050118